MathematicsClass 9What is Probability?

What is Probability? | Class 9 Mathematics Notes

By ConceptScroll Team · Published on 17 July 2026 · 5 min read

What is Probability? – this guide gives you a concise, exam-ready overview of What is Probability? from Class 9 Mathematics, written by ConceptScroll editors and reviewed against the latest NCERT textbook.

7.1.1 What is Randomness?

Randomness refers to situations or actions where the exact outcome cannot be predicted in advance, even though all possible outcomes are known. Examples include tossing a coin or rolling a die. In these experiments, each trial can produce different results unpredictably. For instance, tossing a coin can result in heads or tails, but it is impossible to know which will occur on any single toss. Similarly, rolling a die can yield any number from 1 to 6, but the exact number on a particular roll is unknown beforehand.

Such unpredictable observations are called random experiments or trials. The lucky draw example, where a student is chosen randomly from a set of names, is also a random experiment because the outcome cannot be predicted and every student has an equal chance of selection. Random experiments can be repeated multiple times, and each trial is independent of the previous ones.

Randomness is important because it ensures fairness and unpredictability in many real-life scenarios. For example, in cricket, a coin toss is used to decide which team bats first because it is a fair and unbiased method, relying on randomness. Probability is the branch of mathematics that studies randomness and quantifies the likelihood of different outcomes in random experiments.

Random events like rain are considered random because they depend on complex and sensitive atmospheric factors such as temperature, humidity, wind, and pressure. These factors make it impossible to predict rain with absolute certainty, but probability allows us to estimate the likelihood based on patterns and data.

📊 Diagram: No specific diagram in this subsection, but earlier figures illustrate coin toss and die roll as examples of random experiments.

🧪 Activity: Think and Reflect: Ask a friend to predict the outcome of a ₹1 coin toss. Notice that the friend can guess heads or tails but cannot be certain, illustrating randomness.

🔗 Connection: This section sets the foundation for understanding the probability scale, which quantifies the likelihood of random events.

Frequently asked questions

Rank the following events on a scale from 0 (Impossible) to 1 (Certain). Label each event: Impossible, less likely, equally likely (even chance), more likely, certain. Give reasons why you gave each event its ranking. (i) The next Monday will come after Sunday. (ii) It will snow in Mumbai in July. (iii) An elephant will walk through your classroom today. (iv) You will greet at least one friend at school tomorrow.

Solution:

(i) The next Monday will come after Sunday.

  • This event is certain because Monday always follows Sunday.
  • Probability = 1 (Certain)

(ii) It will snow in Mumbai in July.

  • Mumbai has a tropical climate and it never snows there.
  • Probability = 0 (Impossible)

(iii) An elephant will walk through your classroom today.

  • This is highly unlikely and practically impossible in normal circumstances.
  • Probability = 0 (Impossible)

(iv) You will greet at least one friend at school tomorrow.

1. A teacher mixes a large bag of sweets of different colours and randomly selects a sample of 30 sweets. She counts the number of sweets of each colour: 10 red sweets | 8 green sweets | 7 yellow sweets | 5 blue sweets (i) Calculate the probability that a randomly picked sweet from the sample is green. (ii) If there are 600 sweets in total in the large bag, estimate how many are likely to be yellow, based on the sample results.

(i) Total sweets in sample = 30 Number of green sweets = 8 Probability (green) = Number of green sweets / Total sweets = 8/30 = 4/15

(ii) Total sweets in large bag = 600 Proportion of yellow sweets in sample = 7/30 Estimated number of yellow sweets in large bag = (7/30) × 600 = 140 sweets

2. A survey is conducted at a school where a random sample of 40 students is asked about their favourite club. The responses are: 14 students: Science Club | 11 students: Arts Club | 9 students: Sports Club | 6 students: Debate Club Assume there are 800 students in the whole school. (i) What is the probability that a randomly chosen student from the sample prefers the Arts Club? (ii) Using the sample results, estimate how many students in the whole school are likely to prefer the Sports Club.

(i) Total students in sample = 40 Number preferring Arts Club = 11 Probability (Arts Club) = 11/40

(ii) Total students in school = 800 Proportion preferring Sports Club in sample = 9/40 Estimated number preferring Sports Club in school = (9/40) × 800 = 180 students

3. Toss a coin 20 times and record the result each time (heads or tails). (i) How many times did you get heads? (ii) How many times did you get tails? (iii) Calculate the experimental probability of getting heads. (iv) If you toss the coin once more, what is the probability of getting tails?

(i) Count the number of heads obtained in 20 tosses. (ii) Count the number of tails obtained in 20 tosses. (iii) Experimental probability of heads = (Number of heads) / 20 (iv) Probability of tails in a fair coin toss = 1/2

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